We’ve already mentioned the breakdown in the Commitment of Traders (COT) data. The commercials (also known as the professionals) are record short the greenback as their speculator counterparts are very bullish. The last three times we saw this picture produced three important peaks in the greenback. Two peaks occurred right away while the third...
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Sentiment
Is the US$ now a “Crowded Trade”?
Gold, Silver, Gold Stocks Update
The commodity futures charts and gold precious metal stocks have be trading with increased volatility as they bounce between support and resistance levels on the daily and hourly charts.
This report is focused more on technical analysis and charts so that I can show you what I feel these commodities are lining up to do.
GDX...
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Sentiment: HGNSI @ +10.9%
Short-term Gold timers have gotten very bearish and very quickly.
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Is the Public too Bullish on Gold?
Public Opinion is less bullish than in 2008 and 2006.
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Gold Contrarians Will Get Killed
First, let me debunk the bubble callers and those who say Gold is a crowded trade. I’ve heard at least three different people say this. Google that and you’ll be amazed at the number of results. Here are some excellent charts.
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David Rosenberg: This Is How We Get To $2,750 Gold
Since the USA will not default, not raise taxes nor cut spending, the only logical recourse will be to print vast sums of U.S. dollars to fund this surreal foray into deficit finance. In other words, reflate.
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How Can You Tell When Gold is in a Bubble?
Jesse shows some of the gains in junior miners (the speculative companies) in the 1970s.
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Mark Hulbert on Gold Sentiment
Mark Hulbert looks at his proprietary sentiment indicator for Gold. It is telling him that the gold timers have grown fairly bullish recently.
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Sentiment Updates
This includes a chart from Bespoke Investment Group's Blog and Mark Hulbert's sentiment indicator.
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