* Coverage of Over 40 Gold and Silver Stocks* Guidance for Trading and Investing* 4 Major Reports and 2 Updates Each Month* Free, No Risk 14-Day Trial |
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“By now you are probably aware of the ongoing bull market in precious metals, and the bubble and potential mania that lie ahead.
It will be easy to profit…..just buy shares and hold? Right? Wrong!”
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Dear Reader,
I’m Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT. Before I tell you about myself, let me tell you about gold shares. They are incredibly volatile and unsafe over the long-term. Someone once told me that these companies were not real businesses. Doug Casey says they are burning matches. You have to get rid of them because ultimately they will blow up one way or another.
That is because commodities are very cyclical. Gold and Silver are extremely cyclical. Even in a secular bull market, there are not corrections but crashes. It makes it nearly impossible to run a successful company over the long haul. The value of Gold & Silver fluctuate so much that poor assets can suddenly become great assets and great assets become uneconomic. Hence, the gold and silver shares fluctuate like no other shares on the market.
As you can see from the Barron’s Gold Mining Index, there is a sharp boom bust cycle, where the bust can take away nearly all of the gains. During the secular bull market of the 1970s, the BGMI had two corrections of more than 60%. And keep in mind; this is an index of the largest most established companies. If they declined 60%, what happened to the smaller, high growth companies?
If they survived those downturns, (which some inevitably do not) something like this happened.
To achieve such spectacular gains, an investor would have had to buy at bottom and hold through spectacular corrections of 83%, 94% 52% and 89%.
Why am I telling you this?
Most advisors tell you what to buy. And they may make quality recommendations. But do they tell you when to buy it? Do they tell when to take profits or when to sell? This is important for any trade or investment. As you may now be realizing, this is extremely important when it comes to the gold and silver stocks.
As you can see, after a boom these stocks typically give back most, if not all of the gains.
The current bull market is moving into the later stages in terms of time, but not in terms of upside potential. That means that we could experience very sharp gains in a short period of time. At the same time, the eventual bust is likely to negate most of what could be historic gains!
A fundamental analyst will simply tell you to buy and hold and then sell when the company becomes overvalued or when fundamentals deteriorate.
While this works early in a bull market it does not work at the end of a bull market. Either the investor will sell too soon because a stock becomes overvalued. (How would you have liked to sell tech and internet stocks in 1997?) Or the investor will wait for fundamentals to turn negative and then miss the chance to sell before the bust. Technicals lead the fundamentals!
And no disrespect to geologists because they are extremely helpful, but unless they have a strong background in the capital markets, I wouldn’t rely on them to help your timing.
Unlike many who can be considered a technical analyst by just posting a chart on the Internet, I am a credentialed, professional technical analyst. Don’t believe me or don’t believe in the power of technical analysis? See what some of my clients and subscribers have to say:
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I have been working with Jordan Roy-Byrne for two years and I find that he is a brilliant technician. Over the course of my very successful and lengthy career, I have employed and consulted with a great deal of traders and by far he is one of the best. I find that his knowledge is vast and exceeds average expectations.
Salim Harfouche, CEO Cedar Petrochemicals
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He is like a chess player who thinks further ahead than his competition. Whats more, he is never annoyingly bombastic, even when he makes great calls….He is generous in response to questions. And he keeps his subscribers informed.
RBK, NY, NY
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For the price, your publication offers substantial value. Your excellent technical work helps me informed in trading the stocks I follow most and I made money-quickly, from your recommendation of XXX. Keep up the great work!”
Adam K., Cary, NC
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With my technical expertise and the upcoming prognosis for gold and silver shares, my publisher and I set out to create a service that helps traders and investors navigate this bull market in precious metals.
Introducing…..
The Daily Gold Premium Gold & Silver Service
In fact, you don’t even need to pay to try the service. We offer a 14-day no risk trial. You aren’t billed at any time during the trial.
For either $30/month or $150/6 months, I happen to think this is an incredible bargain for the amount of research you receive. I wanted to charge more but my publisher decided otherwise. We just started the service, so the price won’t stay this low for long!
Not convinced? Let me tell you more…..
Superior Market Timing
We utilize stock charts in conjunction with sentiment surveys and real-time sentiment data, such as options. Options can help us spot extremes in market sentiment.
The International Securities Exchange measures only opening customer long options transactions while excluding market maker and firm trades. This is thought to best represent sentiment. In tracking the ISE put/call data for individual equities, I have found the data to be very reliable. There are two things we look for in this data that give a potential bullish signal. The first is an outright spike in the put/call ratio on a single day. The second is a higher trending moving average for the data. That indicates persistent bearish sentiment.
Note the put-call spike in GLD that preceded a large rally. Put-call spikes in SLV have caught two of the last three bottoms.
We track this data for all of the large cap gold and silver stocks. In addition to utilizing options for timing of individual securities, we can use it to monitor if the sector itself is ripe for a bottom or close to a peak.
The above charts show the put-call for GDX (gold stock ETF) and cumulative data for all of the silver stocks we track. We use SLV and SLW as a proxy for the sector. Notice that put-call activity in GDX signaled the late October bottom? Notice that put-call activity confirmed the recent bottom? Turning to the silver stocks we see that three of the last four spikes in the put-call ratio signaled or confirmed the last three short-term bottoms.
This data by itself is incredibly useful but imagine how powerful and helpful it is when combined with regular technical analysis, sentiment surveys, and short interest data.
Superior Stock Picking:
In addition to being a research publication, we highlight stocks that we personally like for both the near and the long-term. We include these recommendations in a report that we periodically update.
All of our six picks (as of February 17, 2010) are not only higher but each pick in its performance period, has outperformed the S&P 500, the HUI Gold Bugs Index and Gold!
√ Stock #1 selected on 7/16, +85.5%
√ Stock #2 selected on 7/20, +41.3%
√ Stock #3 selected on 7/21, +27.4%
√ Stock #4 selected on 8/26, +105.2%
√ Stock #5 selected on 11/2, +6.2%
√ Stock #6 selected on 11/19, +44.3%
Since we like these companies for the long-term, we can’t mention names as we want to protect our subscribers’ privacy. Currently, we are set to add two more names to the list.
Huge Potential:
In even the last year and a half of the previous bull market, junior gold and silver companies experienced tremendous gains. Take a look at this graph:
Please note the difference between the juniors and the producers. Anyone can tell you Newmont Mining or Yamana Gold is going higher. Investors will make good money in those stocks (if they can sell at the right times). However, traders and investors can make historic gains if they turn their focus to the junior producers and explorers, who will be the “growth stocks” of this bull market.
What if you were lucky enough to invest in juniors, not in 1978 but in 1975? Take a look at the gains in these juniors:
You may not believe in technical analysis and you may not care. That is fine. The reality is that technical analysis will help us in finding the leading companies. It will help us stay invested in the strongest stocks. And it will give us a chance to spot the handful of juniors that make epic gains.
To our knowledge we are the only publication that tracks as many companies as we do on a week-by-week basis and offers our research and analysis to the public.
For only $30/month you can get our service. You get our first-rate re search and I promise you have my ear if you send me an email.
As an independent analyst, I make my living by providing high quality actionable research to folks like you. I take my work seriously as my su bs cribers are my lifeblood. Unlike typical Wall Street analysts or newsletter writers with thousands of subscribers, I don’t have the luxury of being wrong. My career depends on providing subscribers with top notch and accurate research.
If this service interests you, I kindly suggest you consider taking a 14-day trial. You are not billed at any time during the trial. All you need to do is cancel before the 15th day. If you choose to do so… no hard feelings from me.
If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to ask! Looking forward to finding big winners for you,
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT
* Coverage of Over 40 Gold and Silver Stocks* Guidance for Trading and Investing* 4 Major Reports and 2 Updates Each Month* Free, No Risk 14-Day Trial |
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You DO NOT need a Paypal account to use your credit card. When you click Subscribe, simply scroll down and click on the link “Use your credit card or bank account” or call (828) 490-4226 to order by phone. |
