Sovereign Debt

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Record Budget Deficits, Pensions Coming Due

I’ve read my fair share of history. I know that people have been calling for the collapse of our debt structure for a long time yet nothing has happened. The belief that the U.S. can claw its way out of any crisis is embedded in our DNA. We still have the most mature markets and the … Continue reading

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Sovereign Debt: a Threat to the Entire Financial System

We like to ask cab drivers about the economy. Not that they understand anything any better than the average central bank economist. But they talk to people. Without cameras or tape recorders in the background. And they have their own businesses too. When times are good, people take cabs. When they are bad, they take the bus.

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Visualizing The Government’s Massive Budget Deficit Forecasting Error

That government projections are not worth the price of the paper (especially not in today’s dis-disinflationary environment) they are printed on is no secret. As Zero Hedge recently demonstrated the margin of error in the most recent budgetary prediction can only be classified as insane. We wrote: “On February 28, 2001 George Bush said this … Continue reading

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The One Reason you Have to Own Gold & Silver

Analysts and pundits provide various reasons for the bull market in Gold. This includes emerging market demand, low interest rates, money printing, central bank accumulation, central bank policies and falling gold production. These are all good reason but there is one reason which stands apart and will drive precious metals to amazing heights. It is … Continue reading

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Global Sovereign Debt Default Bankruptcy Bailout and Contagion Risk Analysis

This analysis seeks to update the global sovereign risk of bankruptcy following the developments of the past 9 months that have seen governments and economic policies change, economic austerity plans implemented or failure to implement, as well as the bailout of two Eurozone member countries with first Greece in May and now Ireland’s Euro 85 … Continue reading

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PIIGS Return to the Slaughter

The dollar continued to get beat down through most of the trading day but started to rally back a bit in the afternoon……

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