Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA

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Precious Metals Bottom Analysis

I was interviewed yesterday by Rahul of Alt Investors Hangout. In this interview I give my thoughts on the near-term outlook for Gold, Silver & the gold stocks. I also discuss when Gold & Silver could make new highs. We also talk about the US stock market.  

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Silver Producers Index Update

This post includes charts of our silver producers index which contains 14 silver producers and is partially weighted by market cap. A few weeks ago, volume (smoothed) hit a 5-year low as the index was trying to make a new low. Note how the index was supported by a 13-year trendline.   A closer look … Continue reading

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Gold and Silver Stocks to Lead Metals Higher

In early November we turned bearish on the precious metals with the expectation that the sector was about to begin a final plunge that would lead to a V shaped bottom. In our last editorial, we asserted that the bear market was in its final throes. Interestingly, the plunge in precious metals stocks may have … Continue reading

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Precious Metals Bear is in its Final Throes

The Fed decision was the catalyst for the final breakdown in precious metals. On Thursday Gold closed at a new low, below $1200 and the gold shares also closed at a new low. Last week we wrote: “The bulk of the evidence leads me to believe that we probably have not seen the bottom though … Continue reading

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Gold Compared to Historical Bubbles

This chart compares Gold’s current correction to the bursting of four bubbles: Dow in 1929, Gold in 1980, Japan in 1990 and Nasdaq in 2000. If Gold’s secular bull market was over it would correct similarly to the bursting of these bubbles. We don’t see that whatsoever.  

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Precious Metals Video Update

This video looks at the historical bear markets (together in analog form) for Gold, Silver & the gold stocks. The charts in the video will give you a visual comparison between today’s bear market and those in the past. Plenty more of this type of analysis and chart can be found in our premium service. … Continue reading

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Investors Intelligence: Bull Sentiment at 26-Year High

The Investors Intelligence Survey shows the bull/bear ratio exploding to what is the highest level since 1987. Also the amount of bears is the lowest since 1987. Not exactly the time to be betting on stock gains over the next year or two. Bullish sentiment is not bearish if it occurs immediately after a bear … Continue reading

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Gold Stocks Nearing Bottom

In early November we made the case that precious metals were in danger of a final plunge before a bottom. The decline that ensued has abated in recent days. It appears that a short-term rally is underway. The bear market is very close to ending but we can’t say definitively just yet.  The chart below … Continue reading

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