Gold COT

Gold has been frustrating for bulls and bears since its crash in Q2 2013. In the two years since it has traded in a wide range, frustrating traders and investors. The net result has been nothing but the passing of time. Until Gold breaks above $1300 or breaks below $1150, we will remain in waiting … Continue reading

Precious Metals continue to be a conundrum. While Gold has trended lower it has failed to break below $1100 as so many expect. It is very strong against foreign currencies and did not break to a new low even as the US$ index rallied from 87 to 100. On the other hand, Gold has failed … Continue reading

Precious metals are closing the week out with a good rally. The Federal Reserve nonsense proved to be a catalyst as it can be in either direction. Regardless of the Fed, the precious metals sector was oversold and due for a bounce. We wrote about that last week. Maybe this could be the bear market … Continue reading

Gold’s reversal from $1130 to $1200 combined with sharp rebounds in the gold miners has given precious metals bulls some hope that the bottom may be in. A few weeks ago we noted that the sector was extremely oversold and a snapback rally could begin. Gold has been the tell for the bear market and … Continue reading

Analysis of the recent COT report…

Here is an updated look at COTs for Gold & Silver…

Gross Silver shorts are at an all-time high….

Updated charts for Gold & Silver COTs including a positioning breakdown for each….

The most recent COT data had one important development. Open interest plunged to a 5-year low. It has been declining steadily for the past three years. Gold probably won’t rebound in earnest until its open interest breaks its downtrend. The decline in open interest signals less interest in Gold. This was one of several COT-related … Continue reading

Positioning currently stands at 76,600 net long contracts on Gold and 18,200 net long contracts on Silver…