Sentiment

Most chartists use daily or weekly charts. Few look at monthly charts. I don’t know of anyone (myself included) who pays any attention to quarterly charts. We decided to take a look at the quarterly chart of the HUI gold bugs index. It is below and we note the two big downturns in the market. … Continue reading

According to INK Research, there are now seven precious metals stocks on the TSX with insider buying for every one with selling….

Tiho Brkan was kind of enough to share these charts which provide insight into the sentiment in the precious metals market…. First is GLD and GLD physical holdings….. Next we have the rate of change for GLD’s value (of holdings)…. Here is Gold with the current positioning of large speculators and small speculators….. Last, here … Continue reading

Here is the AAII survey and the number of bears. Source   Next we show the updated speculator positions in the COT (for Gold):   Here is the same for the US Dollar:  

Last week in regards to Gold we wrote: We have the majority of sentiment indicators showing more pessimism than in 2008, an explosion in negative news coverage and news that major banks have downgraded their outlooks. Without knowing anything else, you’d expect Gold to be down considerably, yet it’s only off about 5% year to … Continue reading

Jordan sees plenty of signs that sentiment for gold has reached an extremely bearish level which typically comes at key bottoms. He also explained…

We all know that sentiment on Gold is quite bearish. Rather than post numerous charts which you’ve likely already seen, I want to note some of the recent statistics. By recent, I refer to the past two weeks. Market Vane’s bullish consensus for Gold hit its lowest since 2001. SentimenTrader.com’s public opinion, which combines various … Continue reading

We know sentiment is bearish, but let’s view some indicators to see just how bearish it is…

According to Bloomberg, Gold traders are the most bullish they’ve been since 2004. The survey shows 21 of 22 respondents expecting Gold to rise this week. Gold is up 26% year to date and has benefited from the Euro debt crisis. According to a Bloomberg survey, the median estimate of eight of the ten most … Continue reading

Gold and Silver Speculators Have Left the Building by Jordan Roy-Byrne We use a combination of sentiment analysis and technical analysis in market timing which often gets a bad name courtesy of mainstream retail nonsense. The dumb money tries to time the market while the smart money utilizes market timing to weigh risk and reward. … Continue reading