Sentiment

Commentary: Contrarian analysis remains upbeat about gold’s prospects…

The following is a brief snippet of Wednesday’s 16-page update. Go here for more information on our service and a free 14-day no risk trial. Gold Gold remains on track (as far as our template).  Here is the potential bullish outcome.  The longer Gold holds above $1160 and that trendline, the more likely the bullish … Continue reading

Since early 2009 we’ve written about the super-bullish long-term cup and handle pattern in Gold. It dates back to 1980 and has a logarithmic target of about $2,100. We noted that previous cup and handle patterns in Gold all reached their logarithmic target1. We expect that this move to $2,100 will be the recognition move … Continue reading

This is one of those things that doesn’t matter as much as people think. Watching the daily financial news, scanning for clues, looking for justification. One of the great secrets of speculating/investing is the fact that the daily news item chosen to “explain” a move higher is not that important.

….Investors are the most bullish on the dollar since the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. on speculation the U.S. economy will expand at a faster pace than in Europe and Japan, a survey of Bloomberg users showed….

My opinion of gold has changed 180 degrees since December. It’s because investor opinion about gold has switched, from remarkably bullish to pretty darn bearish, pretty quickly. Let me show you what I mean……

Short-term Gold timers have gotten very bearish and very quickly.

A look at current technicals and sentiment.

First, let me debunk the bubble callers and those who say Gold is a crowded trade. I’ve heard at least three different people say this. Google that and you’ll be amazed at the number of results. Here are some excellent charts.