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The Dollar, Gold and SP500 Trend Analysis
The dollar is and has been in a strong down trend for many years and I feel as though it’s getting close to another major land slide
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The dollar is and has been in a strong down trend for many years and I feel as though it’s getting close to another major land slide
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The past few weeks we have been seeing the US Dollar slide to new lows at an increasing rate. The strong devaluation of the dollar has sent precious metals like silver and gold rocketing higher out of control sending them parabolic!
During the past 6 weeks both silver and gold have been rising in a parabolic formation.
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I was starting to put on my bullish hat on Friday morning when out of the blue an ugly close has forced me to rethink my position.
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Over the past couple months everyone seems to have been preparing for a sharp market correction. Crazy part is that the SP500 dropped about 10% from the high and that is a typical bull market correction. The thing is… the stock market has a way of slowly unfolding making it look and feel minor, then before you know it, the correction is over and it’s back to an uptrend.
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Equities and Precious Metals are on the edge of another rally and it could start as early as tomorrow.
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The past couple weeks have been choppy in the equities market. While the strong intraday moves are great for day traders, it is extremely difficult for swing/position traders who normally hold positions for 3-60 days in length, which is my focus with this newsletter
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The past couple weeks we have seen strong distribution selling in the equities market followed by equally large days of buying. These buying and selling frenzies have formed a sideways consolidation.
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Trading with multiple time frames – Every now and then it’s always a good idea to look at some different time frames to be sure you have a solid understanding for the longer term trends in play. I will admit that it’s easy to get caught up in trading the shorter time frames like the 1, 10, and 60 minute charts especially when there are large intraday movements.
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The past couple weeks I have been keeping a close eye the price of gold and the gold miners index. I check to see if its pointing to higher or lower prices in the near future using inter-market analysis, price and volume, along with technical analysis. At this time the charts are still pointing to lower prices in the coming days or weeks.
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While Ben Bernanke says we are not seeing any inflation, I think most of us know that is a load of BS as other countries like Egypt see food prices surging.