Precious Metals Bull Analogs Update
We started employing analog charts during the latter stages of the seemingly forever bear market in precious metals. Comparing current to past trends by using price data is not considered technical analysis but it is extremely valuable because history tends to repeat itself. It also helps us identify extremes as … Continue reading “Precious Metals Bull Analogs Update”
Gold Breakout & Upside Targets
Gold cleared $1300 early in the week and padded its gains on Friday even amid a bullish weekly reversal in the US Dollar. Gold’s breakout was validated by a strong monthly close on Thursday and then a strong weekly close Friday. As predicted, the miners perked up with the breakout in Gold. … Continue reading “Gold Breakout & Upside Targets”
Gold Stocks Quietly Leading Gold
Welcome to the dog days of summer. The low volatility in precious metals continues. Janet Yellen or some other Fed heads said something Friday. Precious Metals sold off but quickly recovered. It appears that not much has transpired in recent weeks as precious metals have grinded higher, albeit slowly. However, while it … Continue reading “Gold Stocks Quietly Leading Gold”
Gold’s Sudden, Newfound Relative Strength
Three weeks ago we discussed how Gold needed to perform considering the US$ index was likely to bounce due to an oversold condition and extreme bearish sentiment. We wrote: “Simply put, Gold will have to prove itself in real terms if it is going to hold its ground or breakout as the US$ … Continue reading “Gold’s Sudden, Newfound Relative Strength”
Precious Metals Nearing Breakout
The outlook for precious metals has changed quite a bit over the last month. In early July, Gold and gold stocks were weak and threatening severe breakdowns below key levels such as $1200 Gold and $21 GDX. Those moves reversed course and now Gold and gold stocks are threatening resistance. The prognosis has … Continue reading “Precious Metals Nearing Breakout”
What a US$ Rebound Means for Gold
The decline in the US$ index in 2017 has been relentless. From a high of nearly 104 at the end of 2016, the US$ index has steadily declined to as low as 93.00. While this has certainly fueled the strength in precious metals, it has not been able to lift the sector … Continue reading “What a US$ Rebound Means for Gold”
5 Things I Look for in Exploration Companies
Three months ago (April) we covered the reasons we primarily invest in junior exploration companies. We promised to follow up with some criteria we follow in attempting to pick winners. Here are five things we look for when evaluating and selecting junior exploration companies. Management has a track record and experience. … Continue reading “5 Things I Look for in Exploration Companies”
A look at Gold and Silver Sentiment
Disaster in precious metals land has been averted (for now) as the market unwinds what appears to be sudden excessive bearish sentiment. Surveys such as the daily sentiment index reached single digit levels for Gold and Silver (the previous week) while the net speculative position in Gold and Silver has declined dramatically in recent weeks. … Continue reading “A look at Gold and Silver Sentiment”
Gold Awaits Fundamental Shift
Last week we wrote that Gold’s poor performance in real terms could reflect its worsening fundamentals. Real interest rates are rising because the rate of inflation has peaked and bond yields are rebounding. It is a double whammy for precious metals. This is not permanent but something that could last a few quarters. Gold … Continue reading “Gold Awaits Fundamental Shift”
Gold is Weak in Real Terms
Intermarket analysis is a rather new field in technical analysis but one of my favorites because it is critical in understanding Gold. Asset classes like stocks and bonds are enormous and aren’t as influenced by as many factors as Gold. Trends in stocks, interest rates, commodities and currencies impact Gold in one way … Continue reading “Gold is Weak in Real Terms”
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