Editorials

Gold was extremely overbought in the spring & due for a rest. It has corrected bullishly but is far from its 200-day moving average.   Meanwhile, breadth indicators in gold stocks are flashing some warning signs.   Let’s dig into both.   We start with the quarterly chart of Gold.   It’s not the end … Continue reading

We last wrote two months ago that Gold would undergo a correction that could set up an accelerated leg higher.   Gold has held up very well over the past few months, consolidating in a bullish manner.   The consolidation may need to continue for another month or two. The longer it consolidates, the … Continue reading

Gold has enjoyed one heck of a run.    It has gained almost 60% since March 2024, when it broke out from its 13-year cup and handle pattern. It’s up 85% in the past 18 months.   This is a natural bull market, but bull markets correct and rest occasionally.   Let’s evaluate Gold at … Continue reading

It has been a heck of a last year for precious metals. A year ago, Gold broke out from its 13-year cup and handle pattern, and days ago, it reached its measured upside target of $3,000/oz. Quality miners and quality junior mining companies have surged higher.   Silver has moved higher alongside Gold but … Continue reading

Nearly two weeks ago, we wrote that Gold and Gold Stocks were due for a pause. Naturally, that includes Silver.   The miners were very overbought and at resistance while Gold was approaching measured upside targets of $3000 and $3050 after a sharp move over the previous 12 months. Silver had only a tiny … Continue reading

Last week, we wrote about the Near Perfect Setup in gold stocks but that a correction or pause was likely before a sustainable breakout.    Gold closed the week at $2900 after trading as high as $2968. It has measured upside targets of $3000 and $3050.    It is overbought, which is a long-term positive, … Continue reading

Gold stocks have enjoyed a strong move while Gold has climbed to $2900/oz. The various ETFs and indices have gained 20% since the end of December.    Gold is approaching measured upside targets of $3000/oz and $3050/oz, and the gold stocks are short-term overbought as they approach multi-year technical resistance.     HUI and GDXJ … Continue reading

Precious Metals closed last week and January strong, particularly Gold. The ancient metal of kings closed January up over 7% and Friday at a weekly all-time high of $2835/oz.   Silver, though far from an all-time high, closed the month up over 10% at $32.26/oz. Surpassing resistance at $32-$33/oz would take it to $35/oz. … Continue reading

Gold’s breakout from a 13-year cup-and-handle pattern should have been more significant for the precious metals sector.   It was not because of continued strength in the stock market and the lack of strength in precious metals in real terms.    The good news for 2025 is there are quite a few potential breakouts … Continue reading

Gold’s big breakout was last year.    It exploded through resistance at $2,100/oz, out of its super-bullish cup and handle pattern, and touched $2,800/oz.   The measured upside target remains $3,000/oz with a logarithmic target of $4,000/oz. The past cup and handle pattern breakouts I studied went from the measured upside target to the … Continue reading

It has been a good year for precious metals but not a great one as the leveraged side has underperformed. Gold has gained 28% yet has outperformed Silver and the gold and silver stocks which are up less than 20% on the year.    With the stock market still in a secular bull market, there … Continue reading

Gold’s break out of a 13-year cup and handle pattern is likely the start of a new secular bull market.   However, as we wrote last week, a new secular bull market in the entire precious metals sector cannot begin until Gold breaks out against the conventional 60/40 investment portfolio.   Some are concerned … Continue reading