Editorials

Gold Stocks Remain in Downtrend but Uranium Stocks on the Cusp of New Bull Market

Gold stocks failed to breakout in the spring and then brokedown to multi-year lows by September. As autumn beckons, the precious metals sector at large is very oversold and could be starting a rebound. However, the fundamentals are not yet in place for a new bull market. They will be when the Fed … Continue reading “Gold Stocks Remain in Downtrend but Uranium Stocks on the Cusp of New Bull Market”

Gold Miners Setting Up for Big Rally

The recent rally attempt of the gold stocks fizzled out as the December 2016 lows failed to hold. Now the miners are making new lows. As they pine for the next support they figure to be even more oversold as more bulls throw in the towel. These are the conditions needed to engender … Continue reading “Gold Miners Setting Up for Big Rally”

Upside Targets for Gold, Gold Stocks & Silver

After a vicious selloff precious metals have stabilized. Its not a surprise given the breadth and sentiment extremes we noted and had predicted earlier. Although recent gains have met some resistance, the immediate path of least resistance should be higher. Let’s take a look at the key support and resistance levels for the metals … Continue reading “Upside Targets for Gold, Gold Stocks & Silver”

Gold Stocks Crash! Now What?

Last week GDX and GDXJ were down almost 12% at their lows on Thursday. Since then, they’ve recovered but only a tiny fraction of recent losses. The crash did result in the miners reaching an extreme oversold condition while trading around long-term support at their December 2016 lows. It was the perfect setup for … Continue reading “Gold Stocks Crash! Now What?”

Gold Stocks are Not Too Oversold Yet

In recent days Gold has been more oversold than the gold stocks. Entering this week, the gold stocks were fresh off a major technical breakdown. An upside or downside break can lead to a market stretching beyond what typically qualifies as overbought or oversold. After Monday’s selloff, the gold stocks are hitting oversold levels but … Continue reading “Gold Stocks are Not Too Oversold Yet”

Precious Metals Monthly Charts

With the end of July I thought it was important to take a look at the monthly charts which carry more significance than weekly and daily charts. Visible trends on the monthly charts obviously carry greater weight than those on the weekly and daily charts. Monthly charts can also simplify and clarify sector relationships. … Continue reading “Precious Metals Monthly Charts”

Gold Stocks Testing Last Ditch Support

Although precious metals have not rebounded too strongly yet, the long awaited summer rally could be underway (at least in Gold). Gold is oversold and its sentiment is overly bearish. But it is holding important support in the low $1200s. Silver has begun to rally after breaking down from a triangle consolidation. The … Continue reading “Gold Stocks Testing Last Ditch Support”

Signal vs. Noise in the Gold Market

In his book Nobody Knows Anything, my friend Bob Moriarty wrote about the difference between signal and noise. Unfortunately, much of the information in the gold space or what passes for such is really noise. Conspiracy theories around manipulation, price suppression and China are all too popular while important factors like real interest … Continue reading “Signal vs. Noise in the Gold Market”

Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners to Gold Significant?

It has been a tough spring and summer for precious metals. Gold failed to breakout when it had the chance and it closed the second quarter in ominous and weak fashion. It was the lowest monthly close in more than a year. Silver has performed better but only because it has not declined … Continue reading “Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners to Gold Significant?”

Bearish Sentiment Can Only Take Gold so Far

Despite its lack of bullish fundamentals and the poor price action, Gold is now technically oversold and has reached strong support with sentiment approaching potentially extreme levels. The conditions are in place for a rally. That being said, bearish sentiment by itself is not enough to push Gold beyond a relief rally. While … Continue reading “Bearish Sentiment Can Only Take Gold so Far”