Commentaries

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Change

The destruction culminating in late June in the gold price brought out the usual suspects to school us ever since about why gold is all done as a worthy investment in an era of economic revival, compliments of heroic policy making by Ben Bernanke and Associates.  Perceptions are now fully cemented toward policy maker control … Continue reading

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Commodities, Precious Metals and Economic Contraction

The commodity complex is famous for a sort of ‘Whack-a-Mole’ quality to it.  Do you remember back in the go-go days when it was NatGas (2005)?  Uranium (2007)?  Crude Oil (2008) and then a cluster of Copper (2011), Grains (2011) and Silver (2011)? Well today none of them are doing much.  Oil went up but … Continue reading

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Market Indicators in a Transformed System

We have used the ‘continuum’ (monthly chart of the 30 year yield) for years now to define tops in inflation expectations (red arrows at or around the EMA 100) and tops in deflationary fears (green arrows). 30 yr yield & 30 yr – 2 yr spread With the help of a MACD cross over (not … Continue reading

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Untangling gold at the Bank of England

From 2006 the Bank of England’s Annual Report has declared the quantity of gold in its custody, including the UK’s own 310 tonnes.

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