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An upward sloping consolidation in Gold that began in October has, despite a lack of any real losses, been enough to improve various sentiment indicators. Mark Hulbert of MarketWatch gives an update on his Gold sentiment indicator: Consider the average recommended gold market exposure among a subset of short-term gold market timers tracked by the … Continue reading

Yesterday I came across a clip from one of the business channels. The discussion was about “king dollar” and Gold. (The king dollar probably gives it away). Anyway, one of the guests quipped, “I’m on record that Gold is a dumb trade. It is rising based on fear and confusion  and when that subsides, the … Continue reading

Heading into 2011, the consensus outlook on precious metals is slightly positive but the consensus believes that higher interest rates will ultimately support the US currency and in turn engender a move out of Gold. The Gold naysayers are using “rising rates” as a way to dismiss Gold. Let me explain why this belief is … Continue reading

Normally we write about the things and conditions that cause precious metals to rise. While these things may be obvious, the corresponding rise in the bull market will not always be consistent and linear. Small and large corrections will occur along the way. Some will be purely technical while some have real drivers. There are … Continue reading

Monday morning I was greeted via my inbox with a Bloomberg report on Gold. Bloomberg has a series called “The Dark Side of Gold.” Its important to note this isn’t the first time the news organization has attempted a hit-piece on Gold. I wrote about this exactly one year ago and identified the cases and … Continue reading

Analysts and pundits provide various reasons for the bull market in Gold. This includes emerging market demand, low interest rates, money printing, central bank accumulation, central bank policies and falling gold production. These are all good reason but there is one reason which stands apart and will drive precious metals to amazing heights. It is … Continue reading

With little fanfare, the November budget deficit of $150.4 billion was reported, which happened to be the worst fiscal November in the history of the US, and just out of the top 10 of worst deficit months ever, including the traditionally weak seasonal months of December, April and September (indicatively, the worst deficit month was … Continue reading

In past commentaries, I’ve written about my favorite form of technical analysis. That is intermarket analysis. Intermarket analysis takes traditional technical analysis much further. Normally, we’d look at a market by itself. We’d look at its price action, potential patterns and its momentum. Intermarket analysis takes this a step further by comparing the market at … Continue reading

In the past week I’ve seen more than a few mentions of the potential head and shoulders pattern in Gold. A head and shoulders pattern occurs when a market forms three peaks and the middle peak is noticeably higher than the left and right peaks. However, that is not enough for the pattern to play … Continue reading

The Commitment of Traders report (COT) comes out every Friday. The data is as of Tuesday so there is a lag. The COT data provides important data about the construct of the market. It tells important information such as who is holding long positions (commercials or speculators) and the total open interest. The commercials are … Continue reading