The straight-faced dissemination of transparently amateurish “official analysis” these days loudly proclaiming that an economic rebound is underway is so blatantly short on truth that it reveals a disturbing level of desperation to raise confidence.
Furthermore, it clearly shows that the damage to the national economic infrastructure is so great that the practices deployed by the Federal Reserve and the Obama Administration to goose the economy to revival were futile at best and most likely counterproductive.
No healthy and sustainable growth seen on the horizon
Only the generation of millions of private sector jobs producing a legitimately saleable product or service is a reliable indicator to herald real recovery. Unfortunately, the country foolishly embraced an economic model based on consumption over production. As such, there will be no healthy and sustainable growth until the populace somehow improves its personal cash flow, pays down previous consumption, builds some savings, and re-establishes a manageable line of credit. That said, parsing through all the official gibberish about the “V” shaped recovery, however, I can find no irrefutable data to confirm that such confidence-building job generation is, in fact, developing.
We have a heavy price to pay on the long journey down
The economy may appear to have stabilized but this is a brief respite on a long journey down. The trillions of stimulus, nationalization of GM, etc. should have halted the slide and jump-started the economy but, instead, such action has just provided a short intermission – with a heavy price to be paid down the road. All that has really been accomplished is the official establishment of trillion plus dollar deficits going forward, with no end in sight. This recurring annual budget shortfall is actually modest in comparison to the multi-trillions needed for unfunded entitlements, Obama-care, debt servicing, and the legions of upcoming bailouts for state governments and union pensions.
Potential remedies are being politicized (and weakened) to our detriment.
Of course, a crisis demands governmental action. True to form, those that thirst for power seized on the perverse opportunity they helped create and are grinding out legislation that does nothing to honestly curtail future abuses. Instead, it burdens the innocent and productive sectors of society with oppressive, intrusive and damaging regulation. Unfortunately, there has not been one iota of legislation by government – or dollar spent – in response to this crisis that has not been politicized. Consequently, the economic, regulatory and judicial distortions associated with heavy and far-reaching governmental intervention guarantees an ever diminishing standard of living.
One dim bulb and one bright spot for financial refuge
In a speech earlier this month Ben Bernanke treated us to a demonstration of his understanding of money as one beholden to the fiat monetary system. A couple of his pearls of ‘wisdom’ were as follows:
“Other commodity prices have fallen recently quite severely, including oil prices and food prices… So gold is out there doing something different from the rest of the commodity group.”
“I don’t fully understand the movements in the gold price, but I do think that there’s a great deal of uncertainty and anxiety in financial markets right now.”
No Ben, gold is NOT so much a consumable commodity as it is a monetary metal and, yes Ben, there IS a lot of anxiety in the financial markets. Net, net, there is too much limitless paper and not enough finite gold, ergo the falling value of paper currency to gold.
That simple exercise in cause and effect could have saved the Pride of Princeton the embarrassment of appearing visibly perplexed about the basic tenets of money. What do they teach in Ivy League economics?
However, contrary to Ben’s befuddlement, there is clear and unambiguous precedent for coping with the demise of a paper-based, and thoroughly abused, monetary system. While the options for financial refuge in such an imploding economic and monetary environment are few, historically, gold has served in this role and appears to be asserting itself once again. This can be witnessed playing out across the globe in all major currencies.
Gold to ascend to much greater heights
Talk of a gold bubble is coming again from clueless conformists who made the same kind of assertions when gold broke $400 an ounce but it is just talk. Except for its justifiable 4X price rise over the previous decade, there is no evidence of any typical bubble characteristics being attached to gold as yet.
Unlike the behavior of “investors” in the dot.com and real estate manias, the masses are not running out to buy gold at any price. Indeed, if you talk about investing in physical gold bullion at a cocktail party, you can still count on being subject to ridicule. For contrarians, such an environment is ideal.
The stage is slowly being set, aside from the occasional periodic normal price pullback, for gold to ascend to much greater heights.
Chris Blasi is President of Neptune Global Holdings LLC ( www.NeptuneGlobal.com ) and a frequent contributor to both www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com and www.munKNEE.com. He can be contacted at GroupDirector@NeptuneGlobal.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Neptune Global Holdings LLC (Neptune). The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Neptune Global Holdings LLC nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only and a sampling of diverse editorial opinion. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Neptune Global Holdings LLC and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. Neptune does not act as, nor offer the services of, an investment advisor. Individuals should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment choices.