UK

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UK Inflation Forecast 2011, Imminent Spike to Above CPI 4%, RPI 6%

The last UK inflation data came in at CPI 3.3% and RPI 4.7% for November 2010, with real inflation at just above 6%, this is set against a continuous mantra in the mainstream press by pseudo economists / journalists that high inflation of above 3% was always just temporary and that it would resolve in … Continue reading

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Global Sovereign Debt Default Bankruptcy Bailout and Contagion Risk Analysis

This analysis seeks to update the global sovereign risk of bankruptcy following the developments of the past 9 months that have seen governments and economic policies change, economic austerity plans implemented or failure to implement, as well as the bailout of two Eurozone member countries with first Greece in May and now Ireland’s Euro 85 … Continue reading

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British Pound Sterling GBP Currency Trend Forecast into Mid 2011

Whilst many may perceive currency movements as wide multi-year trading ranges such as between highs of £/$ 2.00 to lows of £/$1.00, however all of the worlds currencies are actually in a continuous state of perpetual free fall where the multi-year high – low trading ranges are fluctuations within the differing rates of decent as … Continue reading

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UK Economy GDP Growth Forecast 2010 to 2015

This analysis is a continuation of the UK Debt Forecast article (UK ConLib Government to Use INFLATION Stealth Tax to Erode Value of Public Debt ) on the impact of the new coalition government having effectively hit the reset button on the UK economy to now primarily target a reduction in the £156 billion annual … Continue reading

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The Inflation Mega-Trend Continues With UK CPI 3.4%, RPI 5.1%

Another month and another release of UK inflation data at far above the Bank of England’s target of 2% and above the upper limit of the Banks 1% to 3% range by reporting CPI of +3.4% for May. Thus the BoE Governor, Mervyn King will write another letter to repeat that the high rate of … Continue reading

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