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Focus on the real sentiment indicators…

It is not exactly groundbreaking analysis to say that whats good for Gold is generally good for Silver. As observers of the precious metals know, Silver tends to lag Gold but eventually catch up quickly. In the long-term sense, Silver is still a year or two behind Gold as Gold has broken above all resistance … Continue reading

Escalating sovereign debt problems in Europe has prompted some to wonder if another “Lehman” type collapse is on the horizon. As a result, some precious metals observers have grown cautious, fearing a replay of the events of two years ago. While it is always prudent to be cautious with an extremely volatile sector like the … Continue reading

The following is a brief snippet of Wednesday’s 16-page update. Go here for more information on our service and a free 14-day no risk trial. Gold Gold remains on track (as far as our template).  Here is the potential bullish outcome.  The longer Gold holds above $1160 and that trendline, the more likely the bullish … Continue reading

As we’ve discussed recently, persistent deflationary forces do not augur for a repeat of Japan circa 1990s or the US in the 1930s. Instead, because of the inability of governments to finance their current and future debt burden (there is a dearth of domestic savings and global capital), deflationary forces will ultimately lead to severe … Continue reading

Recently, I had written about how a deflationary impulse in the capital markets would be a catalyst for the gold stocks. This turned out to be accurate as stocks and commodities weakened while treasuries and the US Dollar advanced. Gold and gold stocks also moved higher. Nevermind the comments I received about how we are … Continue reading

There are numerous reasons both fundamental and technical as to why the precious metals complex will surge over the next 18 months. The sector’s surge will be reinforced by the lack of an obvious trend in most other markets. Gold, Silver and the mining stocks will surge while other markets languish. First let us look … Continue reading

In the wake of continuing global financial turmoil, we hear quite a bit about “safe havens.” Ask someone today and they’d tell you that the US Treasuries are a safe haven and probably Gold also. On a day-to-day basis, certainly the US Dollar and US Treasuries are safe havens. The financial media loves to point … Continue reading

Since early 2009 we’ve written about the super-bullish long-term cup and handle pattern in Gold. It dates back to 1980 and has a logarithmic target of about $2,100. We noted that previous cup and handle patterns in Gold all reached their logarithmic target1. We expect that this move to $2,100 will be the recognition move … Continue reading

In recent commentaries, we’ve focused on the macro factors that will drive acceleration in the precious metals sector. Namely, the gradual exodus from both government and corporate bonds as authorities are forced to monetize debts in an effort to avoid rising interest rates, which would hasten default and bankruptcy. This, and not bank lending or … Continue reading