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Understanding Gold Macro Trends in a Single Chart

Gold against the 60/40 Portfolio shows how precious metals are performing against stocks and reflects capital flows. Money is moving out of Bonds and into Stocks first and Gold as a close second.

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Secular Inflation is an Invisible Stock Market Crash

Secular inflationary bear markets are the worst ones due to the extended periods of poor performance in real terms. The 60/40 portfolio performed worse in 1965-1982 than during 1929-1942 and 2000-2011 due to inflation and the secular bond bear market.    

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Precious Metals Cool Off After Silver Tests $35 Resistance

Gold and Silver closed the week higher by 1% and 1.6% but the mining stocks declined, led by Newmont. GDX lost 3.7% on the week while GDXJ lost 2% and SILJ 1%. Silver was sold hard after it reached resistance at $35.

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No Stock Market Crash is on the Horizon

Crash calls are a permanent fixture on social media which attract quite a bit of attention. None of them are even close to viable today. Crashes are rare and we just had one 4 years ago. Furthermore, secular bear markets do not end with crashes when bonds are in a secular bear as they are … Continue reading

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