Video Update

The bullish reversal in precious metals today coupled with a change in the market’s expectations of Fed timelines has us thinking about a potential bottom in precious metals. Click Here to Learn About TheDailyGold Premium

In this video, we compare Gold at present to late 2012/early 2013. Gold “looks” similar on the chart but that is where the similarities end. Click Here to Learn About TheDailyGold Premium

In this video we present and discuss how the market is answering this question. We can look at indicators such as Fed Funds Futures, Swaps and Eurodollar futures. These things currently anticipate a Fed pause in December or February 2023 and a rate cut in March 2023 or May 2023. Click Here to Learn About … Continue reading

The S&P 500, after rebounding from its 40-month moving average is now enjoying a bear market rally. The potential upside target is the 200-day moving average. In 6 historical bear markets and others, the market rallied up to its 200-day moving average before declining to much lower levels. Click Here to Learn About TheDailyGold Premium

Inflation indicators like Oil, Natural Gas and Bond Yields put in nasty bearish reversals last week. We need to watch markets to see if there is downside follow thru here. If so, the narrative of inflation being the major problem could begin to shift to growth & recession. Click Here to Learn About TheDailyGold Premium

In this video we assess when Gold bottomed during mega-bear markets in stocks. We looked at the 1968-1970, 1973-1974, 2000-2002 and 2007-2009 bear markets. In three of the four Gold bottomed 12 months into the bear and around the time the Federal Reserve cut interest rates. Click Here to Learn About TheDailyGold Premium  

Historically, Gold against foreign currencies and Gold against the stock market have been the best leading indicators for Gold. The best is Gold against the stock market. We also evaluate how Gold has been leading real yields at key turning points. Real yields have been surging but Gold has not declined as much as it … Continue reading

In this video we analyze the history of the time between the last rake hike in a cycle and the following first rate cut. Over the last 13 cycles, the median and average time is 5 months. Interestingly, in 6 of the 13 cycles the time between was 2 months or less. Five of those … Continue reading

A peak and decline in the 2-year yield, which would precede the next Fed rate cut, should be a major catalyst for Gold. Over the next few weeks, stable stock prices and a further rise in Oil could lead to expectations of a tighter Fed. However, over the months ahead, if fears of a recession … Continue reading

Over the past 20 years there have been two major points at which a peak in the Oil price corresponded to a significant low in the gold mining stocks. Oil could be breaking out here and if it can push above $115, it has a clear path to $145-$150, the all time high. Oil’s term … Continue reading