Dollar

Interesting to watch all of the Silver and Gold Bears running out into the streets from their caves beating their chests due to the silver shellacking we just saw.

The past few weeks we have been seeing the US Dollar slide to new lows at an increasing rate. The strong devaluation of the dollar has sent precious metals like silver and gold rocketing higher out of control sending them parabolic!
During the past 6 weeks both silver and gold have been rising in a parabolic formation.

For many months now I’ve been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up in gold’s ongoing two year C-wave advance. We are now on the verge of the panic selling stage of this three year cycle.

I was starting to put on my bullish hat on Friday morning when out of the blue an ugly close has forced me to rethink my position.

Over the past couple months everyone seems to have been preparing for a sharp market correction. Crazy part is that the SP500 dropped about 10% from the high and that is a typical bull market correction. The thing is… the stock market has a way of slowly unfolding making it look and feel minor, then before you know it, the correction is over and it’s back to an uptrend.

It has been my contention all along that the Fed would print until something breaks. Once that break occurs we will enter the next leg down in the secular bear market. This time I don’t expect it to be the credit markets, although we will almost certainly have trouble in the municipal and state bond markets. Some may even default.

The other night, watching the State of the Union address, I couldn’t help but be confounded by what I saw on the TV—a bunch of men and women, dressed like they are going to a wedding, hugging each other, smiling, laughing—and then it hits me. What are these people celebrating?

We have seen some exciting moves in the market and with the market sentiment so bullish it should make for a sharp selloff in the coming weeks. Meaning everyone is overly bullish and owns a lot of stocks and commodities; therefore the market should top and leave them holding the bag while the smart money runs for the door.

In a move that provides a glimpse of the future of US dollar and gold, China has allowed its currency to be traded for the first time in the United States. This is a bullish sign for gold investors.

With the markets not having experienced a correction for some time and the Fed due to release a statement tomorrow, it is prudent to review some big picture issues.