Inflation

This video focuses on inflation, commodities, commodity stocks and Gold and gold stocks….

On the US monetary inflation front, the news is that there isn’t much in the way of news.

March 16, 2014Inflationbanks, business lending, carry trade, inflation

Deflation is the consensus but inflation is the contrarian bet and breaking to the upside…

The ISM has once again expanded.  Policy is working, so please Dear Mr. Bernanke, begin to withdraw not only a token amount of Treasury bond asset buying in October; make a real statement for the ‘organic’ economy.  Pull all T bond purchases and stop buying some MBS to boot.  You’ll not only help the Fed’s … Continue reading

Speaking with Kitco News, Jim Rickards discusses the Fed, its non-taper, inflation and possible catalysts for Gold…

Last week the Fed treated us to a whipsaw as market perceptions apparently were not in line with the FOMC policy statement, which was basically a punt.  Then the very next day the Fed’s James Bullard  jawboned the media about a possible October Federal Reserve tapering.  Hence, a letter writer was left with images of … Continue reading

In the current policy and media stoked market environment, anything is possible.  It’s  the wonderful, magical world of hands-on policy making.  5 years after the financial crisis, but still not enjoying a ramping economy like the good old (and long gone) days of the last great secular bull market (RIP 2000)?  Just sit back, relax … Continue reading

In light of today’s positive economic data out of China, I thought I would reproduce a segment from NFTRH 255 (9.8.13) that speculated upon the possibility of a new up cycle in inflation expectations based in large part on China and its credit growth cycle (on which central planners have announced a planned clampdown).  China … Continue reading

We have used the ‘continuum’ (monthly chart of the 30 year yield) for years now to define tops in inflation expectations (red arrows at or around the EMA 100) and tops in deflationary fears (green arrows). 30 yr yield & 30 yr – 2 yr spread With the help of a MACD cross over (not … Continue reading