Gary Tanashian

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Precious Metals Must Make a Stronger Statement Still

Yesterday was an impulsive looking move and something of a statement in itself.  But now technically, the metals and miners need to gather themselves (after a potential pullback on profit taking) and make a real statement. Yesterday was the booster stage (gap up), and another leg up from here would give the precious metals complex … Continue reading

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Risk is Off

[ed: ‘Risk Off’ might seem obvious this morning, but NFTRH has been highlighting acute risk in the US stock market since leading indicators – including a sentiment extreme exactly opposite to the contrarian bullish extreme of 1 year ago – flashed warning signals weeks ago.  From NFTRH 244′s opening segment… I don’t know how to put it … Continue reading

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QE ‘Taper’ to T Bond ‘Carry Trade’ – More Thoughts

The following is the opening segment to this week’s premium letter, NFTRH 242.  The balance of #242 went on to discuss the technical status of US and global stock markets, key commodities, the current status of ‘inflation expectations’, precious metals and currencies; all in detail. Taper to Carry Last week we introduced the theoretical ‘taper to … Continue reading

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The Stock Market – Which Side Are You On?

I read a piece this morning by Josh Brown, the Reformed Broker, in which he destroys the 1999 comparison for the stock market.  He makes some excellent points about why the stock market is not only not over valued compared to 1999, but is actually a bargain.  You should read it because we should all be … Continue reading

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Macro Sleight of Hand is Working, for Now

Right in plain site, the Federal Reserve is doing this to the US money supply. It is a hockey stick with the blade pointing up, but will one day turn into a big, bloated chicken and come home to roost. The Fed’s global counterparts continue apace with inflation as well. Meanwhile, economic data like M2′s … Continue reading

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Is Gold as an Investment Finished?

Excerpted from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 235: Is Gold as an Investment Finished? Before delving deeper into that question, perhaps we should see what the mainstream media thinks.  In fairness to the MSM, we note there are plenty of articles on both sides of the debate.  Yet there has been … Continue reading

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Gold & Silver as Macro Sign Post

The last week has been a fright fest for the gold “community”.  But these are the financial markets, not a community.  There is a world outside of what ever is going on in gold and silver.  A macro economic backdrop filled with entwined and correlated assets and markets all trying to form a message when … Continue reading

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Gold & Silver: Test in Progress

Excerpted from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 233: From last week’s Wrap Up Segment: “So we will continue to manage risk in the very short-term because this has worked well for 6 months now and gold and silver look vulnerable technically for at least a test of major support.” Despite … Continue reading

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HUI as a Roadmap

In an earlier post I pulled the old HUI 888 skeleton out of my closet.  888 (AKA the 3 Snowmen) was a target measurement based on how the chart looked in 2010.  It can be liberating to take your worst call and publicize it for the world to see.  They tell me that you sell a lot … Continue reading

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Technical Analysis – Put Egos Aside & Respect the Charts

I would like to repeat the idea that it is best to subordinate yourself to markets at all times.  To put your ego aside or at least check it daily to make sure it is not leading you astray.  The gold bug ego for example, hardened by a solid decade-plus of relentless bull market is … Continue reading

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