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I must confess I am a gold bug both philosophically and in terms of investing. We are entering a golden age for Gold as the bull market is destined to reach amazing heights and real and honest money reemerges as legal tender against fiat currencies that will soon be at the mercy of a sovereign … Continue reading

In a word, no. We divide our rationale into three parts. Macro Back in 2008, a recession was beginning, the private sector was in intense deleveraging mode and the credit markets foreshadowed what was to come in the equity and commodity markets. Today we are seeing growing credit stress on the sovereign side and not … Continue reading

I was interviewed by Al Korelin of the Korelin Economics Report yesterday. Click Here to Listen, it is segment 7

Gold and Silver equities have led the markets lower and have underperformed the metals significantly this year. For the past month or so Gold has firmed and Bonds have moved higher as most asset classes have declined. Unfortunately mining equities have been among the worst performers. However, our work leads us to believe that an … Continue reading

Harris Kupperman is head of Praetorian Capital, a hedge fund which has been fantastically successful. Harris traveled to Mongolia because he believes it has major growth ahead over the next twenty years and he wanted to see it first-hand. He realized the best way to get investment exposure to Mongolia was to start a company … Continue reading

While Gold is only 2% from all time highs, the gold stocks have struggled and underperformed badly. This is reminiscent of 2008, although we don’t think a similar result is coming. The fact is as QE 2 ends and the failed recovery peaks, money is moving out of risk assets and into Bonds. Gold is … Continue reading

At the start of the year we wrote about what we could expect from the gold stocks and juniors over the first half of the year. All of these markets experienced significant multi-year breakouts in late 2010. This year called for a retest of those breakouts before the next advance would begin. We believed that … Continue reading

This is also known as the “speculative long position.” The chart is from ZeroHedge.com.

My favorite form of technical analysis is intermarket analysis which is the comparison of various markets and sectors. All markets relate in one way or another. The current market cycle is being dominated by macro-related events. Since all markets have had a stronger link than in the past, it makes intermarket analysis very important. … Continue reading

While the financial media pronounced the end of the Commodities bull and the end of the Gold trade, the market didn’t listen. The financial media apparently forgot that there is no solution to the coming global sovereign debt crisis. Perhaps they just thought there wasn’t a crisis? Speculation aside, sovereign debt concerns are growing in … Continue reading