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Gold Will Emerge as the Only Safe Haven

In the wake of continuing global financial turmoil, we hear quite a bit about “safe havens.” Ask someone today and they’d tell you that the US Treasuries are a safe haven and probably Gold also. On a day-to-day basis, certainly the US Dollar and US Treasuries are safe havens. The financial media loves to point … Continue reading

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All Aboard the Gold Train as Recognition Move Approaches

Since early 2009 we’ve written about the super-bullish long-term cup and handle pattern in Gold. It dates back to 1980 and has a logarithmic target of about $2,100. We noted that previous cup and handle patterns in Gold all reached their logarithmic target1. We expect that this move to $2,100 will be the recognition move … Continue reading

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When Will Gold Make its Next Big Move?

In recent commentaries, we’ve focused on the macro factors that will drive acceleration in the precious metals sector. Namely, the gradual exodus from both government and corporate bonds as authorities are forced to monetize debts in an effort to avoid rising interest rates, which would hasten default and bankruptcy. This, and not bank lending or … Continue reading

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Junior Gold Stocks Update

As subscribers know, twice per month I update the junior gold sector (also the junior silver stocks). I have proprietary indices and I cover the stocks in these updates. Also once per month I update the companies in terms of fundamentals and news announcements. Monday’s update, GSL #28.1 looked at the JR Gold sector. Our … Continue reading

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Gold Sector Sentiment Update

Over the last few weeks we’ve been writing about potential macroeconomic developments, which will drive Gold in the near term and in the years ahead. We thought we’d take a break from that and focus on what we enjoy most: analyzing technicals and sentiment….

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CFTC Reports New Net Speculative Euro And Cable Record Shorts

The CFTC’s latest weekly Commitment of Traders report shows that after a brief respite, potentially dictated by Goldman’s very temporary euro bullishness, the euro is back to having a record number of non-commercial futures-only positions at -74,917. This is a more than 50% increase from last week’s -46,341. As a reminder the prior euro net short record was -74,551 two weeks ago…

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Watch the Bond Market, Not Bank Lending or Velocity

A few weeks ago we wrote about the true cause of hyperinflation, which is a major break or failure in the bond market. It has nothing to do with demand, bank lending or the velocity of money as many have suggested. It is a confidence issue….

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