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A Macro View of T Bonds, Gold & Money Supply
While charting a potential bullish scenario for commodities in NFTRH 213, I became distracted by thoughts of the deflationary mindset that has been cooked up since ‘Bond King’ Bill Gross tugged on Superman’s cape in the spring of 2011 by announcing his short positions against long-term US Treasury bonds, which was in essence a bet … Continue reading
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HUI-Gold Ratio; 3 Views, 1 Conclusion
Here is a little snippet from NFTRH 213 that showed the important indicator of gold sector health, the HUI-Gold Ratio (HGR) from three different views; daily, weekly and monthly. As you can see, daily must hold to keep the weekly intact, which in turn must hold to keep the monthly big picture of the secular … Continue reading
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Updating the HUI-SPX Ratio
There were reasons for the mind numbing gold stock correction out of the hysterical events of the 2011 Euro-led meltdown and its aftermath. Take your pick… Too many lousy gold mining operations not keeping on top of costs and/or execution projections. Too many scammy smaller operations doing little more than issuing stock and telling stories … Continue reading
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What’s the Dumb Money Doing Now?
Back in May, as the stock market was heading into its final decline prior to this year’s seemingly improbable second half rally, I wrote an article called Dumb Money Sold in May and Went Away. Later, this view was backed up with positions in global emerging bonds and markets, global bonds, developed global markets, frontier … Continue reading
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Systemic Stress is Building, and it’s Bullish (for now)
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FrankenMarket Lives (On)!
Excerpted from the September 30 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole: I often refer back to my first publicly written article (FrankenMarket Lives, 2004) because it simply stated the terms by which the stock market lives here in the age of Inflation onDemand, which was kicked off by Alan Greenspan in 2001 and is … Continue reading
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i2k12 Back With a Bang (NFTRH 204 Wrap Up)
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HUI-SPX Ratio Aims For Higher Levels
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Bernanke Plays it Perfectly
Excerpted from NFTRH 202: Bernanke Plays it Perfectly From last week’s opening segment: “Another way to look at it is that the market’s fate appears to rest with the jawbone of the man about to speak at Jackson Hole on Friday.” From last week’s closing ‘Wrap Up’ segment: “I think the theme now is that … Continue reading