Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA

The most recent COT data had one important development. Open interest plunged to a 5-year low. It has been declining steadily for the past three years. Gold probably won’t rebound in earnest until its open interest breaks its downtrend. The decline in open interest signals less interest in Gold. This was one of several COT-related … Continue reading

An update on our proprietary index of 12 companies…

Gold priced in foreign currencies and Gold vs. the S&P 500 are two charts we should be following….

Silver has been in a bear market for almost three years and the recent lack of strength suggests the metal could be headed for new lows. New lows are always bearish until the last one. Our technical work suggests that we should watch for a final low and end to the bear market in the … Continue reading

Throughout 2013 we posted the gold stocks bear market analogs. Now its time for the silver bear market analogs. Silver has had a very weak bounce in recent months and is threatening new lows. This suggests the bear is not quite over yet. However, this chart argues (because of the extended nature of this bear … Continue reading

Unless you’ve been living under a rock then you have witnessed the now false breakout in Gold and gold stocks. Our expectation was that the breakout would take Gold to $1420 and the stocks up to their neckline resistance (GDX $30 and GDXJ $51) and then we’d see the first real correction since the December … Continue reading

Listen to our interview with Dr. Jeffrey Kern who developed a reliable market timing system for the gold stocks…

Here are two charts of our silver producer index, which contains 14 silver stocks and is partially weighted. The index includes household names such as Silver Wheaton, Pan American, Hecla, Couer D’Alene as well as various junior producers. The first chart dates back more than 13 years. The blue line is the 80-week moving average. … Continue reading

In this chart we compare Gold’s decline from August 2011 with the bursting of the four biggest bubbles of the past 100 years: Nasdaq 2000, Japan 1990, Gold 1980 and Dow 1929. Those 4 bubbles followed a very similar pattern. They each declined 60% to 85% over a two and a half year period. Each … Continue reading

Gold, and various gold stock groups GDX, GDXJ and GLDX have broken out to the upside….