Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA

From Reuters: China to Clean Up Billions Worth of Local Debt China’s regulators plan to shift 2-3 trillion yuan ($308-463 billion) of debt off local governments, sources said, reducing the risk of a wave of defaults that would threaten the stability of the world’s second-biggest economy. As part of Beijing’s overhaul of the finances of … Continue reading

At the start of the year we wrote about what we could expect from the gold stocks and juniors over the first half of the year. All of these markets experienced significant multi-year breakouts in late 2010. This year called for a retest of those breakouts before the next advance would begin. We believed that … Continue reading

This data is a few months old but it remains important. It shows fund flows during Q4 2010 and Q1 2011. Energy and Agriculture have been the most popular sectors while precious and base metals have been the least popular. Source     [ad#TDG Premium 468×60]

This is also known as the “speculative long position.” The chart is from ZeroHedge.com.

My favorite form of technical analysis is intermarket analysis which is the comparison of various markets and sectors. All markets relate in one way or another. The current market cycle is being dominated by macro-related events. Since all markets have had a stronger link than in the past, it makes intermarket analysis very important. … Continue reading

While the financial media pronounced the end of the Commodities bull and the end of the Gold trade, the market didn’t listen. The financial media apparently forgot that there is no solution to the coming global sovereign debt crisis. Perhaps they just thought there wasn’t a crisis? Speculation aside, sovereign debt concerns are growing in … Continue reading

Most mainstream pundits and reporters have assumed that it was speculative buying that caused Silver to go parabolic. After all, its always the dumb money or the public that gets in at the very end. However, in futures markets, parabolic moves are often the result of short squeezes. This is exactly what happened in Silver. … Continue reading

Excerpted from Subscriber Update The gold stocks are in a correction which could turn out to be the largest and deepest since the crash of 2008. Now is not the time to panic but to evaluate where the gold stocks may go and where buying will come in to support the market. We utilize moving … Continue reading

I was interviewed yesterday by Al Korelin of the Korelin Economics Report. I discussed the technical outlook for Silver and the Gold/Silver ratio. Click Here, it is segment three.

Back in 2009 I thought the best comparison to the 2008 crash in Commodities was the 1987 crash in stocks. These were crashes within secular bull markets. The template of the 1987 crash in stocks and ensuing recovery called for Commodities to reach a new high two years later. The chart below shows the S&P … Continue reading

Though Gold and Silver were able to make new highs in recent months, the gold stocks (as evidenced by GDX (large caps) and GDXJ (larger juniors) never did. We wrote of their relative weakness and how it was a warning sign for the sector. The shares failed to breakout and have fallen back into their … Continue reading

By Addison Wiggin 05/06/11 Baltimore, Maryland – Today, traders are celebrating that the U.S. economy added the most jobs in nearly a year. Or so they’re led to believe. Let’s examine the payroll data first: The economy supposedly added 244,000 jobs in April. The private sector added 268,000 jobs; government cut 24,000 However, 175,000 of … Continue reading