Editorials

Precious Metals enjoyed a very strong move this past summer. Both Gold and gold stocks broke past multi-year resistance and showed the kind of positive momentum that has been lacking for years.  But strong momentum coupled with major technical resistance set in, along with a temporary shift in fundamentals, thus creating a roadblock and a … Continue reading

At present, there could be a number of positive developments for precious metals. Last Friday, the US Dollar cracked lower and could be at risk of lower levels into year end. Days earlier the Federal Reserve announced new “QE-like” measures just as they told us it was not really QE.  In addition, the market is … Continue reading

As the correction in gold stocks continues and as it’s likely to endure for the time being, we take a step back and share some tips for selecting individual junior gold companies. The current correction may provide the last chance to buy before the bull market in Gold is confirmed and capital pours into the … Continue reading

Several weeks ago both Gold and gold stocks hit major resistance after strong but extended moves. A correction or pause was to be expected. Clearly, we can now say, the sector is in correction mode. Corrections tend to have three legs: a simple down up down or A-B-C pattern. The gold stocks (and Gold) appear … Continue reading

Is Gold now back in a bull market? Most gold bugs think so and are quick to proclaim that. But, could Gold remain in a secular bear market? It hasn’t made a new all time high in 8 years and the perma-bull, financial asset loving crowd certainly believes so. This is semantics because what really … Continue reading

Gold is inversely correlated to the trend in real interest rates. As a result, Fed rate cuts and/or rising inflation and inflation expectations are the catalysts for declining real interest rates. The shift in Fed policy, which occurred in only eight months was the catalyst for recent gains in precious metals. The 2-year yield, which … Continue reading

It has taken a few weeks to play out but our warning of a correction in precious metals (first on August 18) is coming to pass.  Last week Gold, Silver and GDX all formed big bearish reversals at multi-year resistance levels. Yes, these resistance levels (Gold $1550, Silver $18.50, GDX 31) date back to 2013. … Continue reading

Back during the bear market years (it’s nice to be able to write that now), I regularly would compare the declines in Gold, Silver and gold stocks to their past history. It gave us a visual representation of just how bad the forever bear market was and helped us decipher when it might end. Thankfully … Continue reading

Last week we wrote that near-term risk in precious metals (Gold and GDX especially) was rising and a correction could begin soon.  As Gold nearly reached major resistance at $1550/oz, the miners already began to correct. That negative divergence is an ominous signal for the sector in the short term. However, the good news is, … Continue reading

Last week was another strong one for the precious metals sector.  Gold gained a whopping $51/oz or 3.5%. The gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) advanced by roughly 6%. Silver gained 4%. Momentum in the sector began to build once Gold surpassed resistance at $1420-$1425/oz. We had noted the lack of resistance from $1425 to $1525-$1550/oz.  Gold … Continue reading