Editorials

Gold and silver stocks have held up decently during the correction in precious metals, which is now in its 3rd month. However, as we mentioned last week, the bugaboo has been the relatively high net speculative position in Gold, which has not changed much despite recent weakness in the sector. Technically Gold cracked last week … Continue reading

In our most recent editorial we concluded by observing a few positives in the gold and silver stocks. W concluded with: “Their performance over the weeks ahead could give us an early hint as to how much longer the correction will last.” Fast forward another week and a few positives has morphed into a handful … Continue reading

Fed rate cuts have been the driving force of the recent gains in precious metals. This is not a surprise to our readers as since 2018 we argued that a shift in Fed policy from rate hikes to rate cuts would springboard the next big move. History argued the same. The market is showing a … Continue reading

Precious Metals enjoyed a very strong move this past summer. Both Gold and gold stocks broke past multi-year resistance and showed the kind of positive momentum that has been lacking for years.  But strong momentum coupled with major technical resistance set in, along with a temporary shift in fundamentals, thus creating a roadblock and a … Continue reading

At present, there could be a number of positive developments for precious metals. Last Friday, the US Dollar cracked lower and could be at risk of lower levels into year end. Days earlier the Federal Reserve announced new “QE-like” measures just as they told us it was not really QE.  In addition, the market is … Continue reading

As the correction in gold stocks continues and as it’s likely to endure for the time being, we take a step back and share some tips for selecting individual junior gold companies. The current correction may provide the last chance to buy before the bull market in Gold is confirmed and capital pours into the … Continue reading

Several weeks ago both Gold and gold stocks hit major resistance after strong but extended moves. A correction or pause was to be expected. Clearly, we can now say, the sector is in correction mode. Corrections tend to have three legs: a simple down up down or A-B-C pattern. The gold stocks (and Gold) appear … Continue reading

Is Gold now back in a bull market? Most gold bugs think so and are quick to proclaim that. But, could Gold remain in a secular bear market? It hasn’t made a new all time high in 8 years and the perma-bull, financial asset loving crowd certainly believes so. This is semantics because what really … Continue reading

Gold is inversely correlated to the trend in real interest rates. As a result, Fed rate cuts and/or rising inflation and inflation expectations are the catalysts for declining real interest rates. The shift in Fed policy, which occurred in only eight months was the catalyst for recent gains in precious metals. The 2-year yield, which … Continue reading

It has taken a few weeks to play out but our warning of a correction in precious metals (first on August 18) is coming to pass.  Last week Gold, Silver and GDX all formed big bearish reversals at multi-year resistance levels. Yes, these resistance levels (Gold $1550, Silver $18.50, GDX 31) date back to 2013. … Continue reading