Editorials

Although Gold put in a bearish reversal on Friday and failed to breakout, do not expect the sector (and miners specifically) to begin a significant correction.   When I say significant, I mean something that would last more than a few days or a few weeks.    Bull markets often register overbought conditions. Strong … Continue reading

We have been writing about Gold’s super bullish cup and handle pattern and the future breakout for years.    It is coming and with it, a new cyclical and secular bull market.    That aside, I wanted to delve into how and why the Gold price should double within the next two and a half … Continue reading

Gold is on the cusp of a major breakout from its super-bullish cup and handle pattern. The measured upside target is $3000/oz, and the log target is roughly $4000/oz.   These targets may sound extreme, but breakouts from multi-decade bases are rare but very bullish. Furthermore, a breakout from a long-term base to a … Continue reading

Gold mining stocks and Silver are the riskier parts of the precious metals sector. Generalist capital always favors Gold first and second before considering miners and Silver.   The gold stocks and Silver have underperformed Gold so badly because Gold has been in a secular bear market since 2011.    Think of the economics … Continue reading

Last week we wrote about the inevitable bullish fundamentals for Gold.   Recent events that followed our editorial signal that the inevitable is moving closer to imminent.   Due to bank failures, a pending hard landing, and the like, the Federal Reserve will have to cease its rate hikes and ease policy amid not … Continue reading

The macro fundamentals are not bullish for Gold at this moment.   The Fed is still tightening. The economy has picked up a bit, and so too, have inflation expectations.    This means higher real rates for now. Not bullish.   However, the market discounts and anticipates in advance.    And both of the … Continue reading

Gold’s winter rebound thwarted a 2013-like scenario. However, the sharp February selloff and nasty monthly candles reflect no bull market yet.    Gold is stuck but remains in a larger handle consolidation within a super-bullish cup and handle pattern.   I am not a fan of trendline and channel analysis as it is prone to … Continue reading

Last week I wrote that the stock market had veered away from the course of a mega-bear market.   The rebound in the stock market has triggered several breadth thrusts, which (usually after a correction or bear market) signal more upside in the immediate future. It is not a coincidence that Gold and Silver … Continue reading

I have written about this topic quite a few times. I am writing about it again today because it will become an extremely important indicator for precious metals within the next 12 months.    Gold has enjoyed a great rebound and has approached its 2020 and 2021 highs. But the stock market has also … Continue reading

Last week we wrote about the propensity for mild corrections in the early stages of Gold bull markets.    Corrections in Gold tend to be limited to 8% to 10% at the most while corrections in the gold miners tend to be limited to 15%. The exception is when you get a vertical recovery, … Continue reading