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An important shift in global markets is taking place and it bears introspection. Gold has broken to a new high while Silver has established a bottom. Precious metals stocks have rebounded significantly from support. At the same time, important global stock markets are in the early stage of a technical breakdown. We don’t foresee … Continue reading

This material is an excerpt from a premium update Last week we wrote about Silver so this week we decided to provide an update on Gold. In looking at the price action and sentiment indicators we find that Gold is once again ripe for what is becoming an annual seasonal breakout. Gold has broken to … Continue reading

Successful market timing is based on careful use of technical analysis and sentiment analysis. Technical analysis measures supply and demand and sentiment analysis takes that a step further by looking at investor attitudes their positions and money flows. This information helps us assess probabilities. Nothing is certain but we want to see strong evidence … Continue reading

It’s often said that commodity shares should lead the actual commodities. While this isn’t always the case, it often is at market turning points. Months back we noted the relative weakness in Gold and Silver shares and deemed it a reason for caution. It took more than a few weeks but our caution was vindicated … Continue reading

I must confess I am a gold bug both philosophically and in terms of investing. We are entering a golden age for Gold as the bull market is destined to reach amazing heights and real and honest money reemerges as legal tender against fiat currencies that will soon be at the mercy of a sovereign … Continue reading

In a word, no. We divide our rationale into three parts. Macro Back in 2008, a recession was beginning, the private sector was in intense deleveraging mode and the credit markets foreshadowed what was to come in the equity and commodity markets. Today we are seeing growing credit stress on the sovereign side and not … Continue reading

I was interviewed by Al Korelin of the Korelin Economics Report yesterday. Click Here to Listen, it is segment 7

Gold and Silver equities have led the markets lower and have underperformed the metals significantly this year. For the past month or so Gold has firmed and Bonds have moved higher as most asset classes have declined. Unfortunately mining equities have been among the worst performers. However, our work leads us to believe that an … Continue reading

Harris Kupperman is head of Praetorian Capital, a hedge fund which has been fantastically successful. Harris traveled to Mongolia because he believes it has major growth ahead over the next twenty years and he wanted to see it first-hand. He realized the best way to get investment exposure to Mongolia was to start a company … Continue reading

While Gold is only 2% from all time highs, the gold stocks have struggled and underperformed badly. This is reminiscent of 2008, although we don’t think a similar result is coming. The fact is as QE 2 ends and the failed recovery peaks, money is moving out of risk assets and into Bonds. Gold is … Continue reading

At the start of the year we wrote about what we could expect from the gold stocks and juniors over the first half of the year. All of these markets experienced significant multi-year breakouts in late 2010. This year called for a retest of those breakouts before the next advance would begin. We believed that … Continue reading

This is also known as the “speculative long position.” The chart is from ZeroHedge.com.