Since early 2009 we’ve written about the super-bullish long-term cup and handle pattern in Gold. It dates back to 1980 and has a logarithmic target of about $2,100. We noted that previous cup and handle patterns in Gold all reached their logarithmic target1. We expect that this move to $2,100 will be the recognition move … Continue reading “All Aboard the Gold Train as Recognition Move Approaches”

In recent commentaries, we’ve focused on the macro factors that will drive acceleration in the precious metals sector. Namely, the gradual exodus from both government and corporate bonds as authorities are forced to monetize debts in an effort to avoid rising interest rates, which would hasten default and bankruptcy. This, and not bank lending or … Continue reading “When Will Gold Make its Next Big Move?”

As subscribers know, twice per month I update the junior gold sector (also the junior silver stocks). I have proprietary indices and I cover the stocks in these updates. Also once per month I update the companies in terms of fundamentals and news announcements. Monday’s update, GSL #28.1 looked at the JR Gold sector. Our … Continue reading “Junior Gold Stocks Update”

While Gold is a hedge for inflation and deflation, that doesn’t mean that gold stocks are a hedge or outperformer in either environment. As we wrote last year, gold stocks tend to perform better when…

Over the last few weeks we’ve been writing about potential macroeconomic developments, which will drive Gold in the near term and in the years ahead. We thought we’d take a break from that and focus on what we enjoy most: analyzing technicals and sentiment….

Let me start out by asking a few questions….

…Sovereign governments through their bailouts, stimulus packages and support, have basically become the credit markets….

The CFTC’s latest weekly Commitment of Traders report shows that after a brief respite, potentially dictated by Goldman’s very temporary euro bullishness, the euro is back to having a record number of non-commercial futures-only positions at -74,917. This is a more than 50% increase from last week’s -46,341. As a reminder the prior euro net short record was -74,551 two weeks ago…

A few weeks ago we wrote about the true cause of hyperinflation, which is a major break or failure in the bond market. It has nothing to do with demand, bank lending or the velocity of money as many have suggested. It is a confidence issue….

…I look at many things to track sentiment. In terms of Gold we have COTs and various sentiment surveys among other things. The ISE put-call data has been the most reliable…