Editorials

In this article, I will briefly examine Gold’s technicals, fundamentals, and sentiment to hazard a guess at when and where the major turn will be.   It is vital to consider all three tools to build a case.   On the fundamental front, we are well aware that precious metals have historically bottomed around the … Continue reading

Gold is breaking down technically. There’s no denying it.   Gold has already closed at a fresh 52-week and 2-year low in daily and weekly terms. It needs to close above $1715 at the end of the month to negate a monthly breakdown.   However, recent weakness has not been confirmed by similar markets. … Continue reading

It has been a very rough time for precious metals. In recent months they have endured another terrible selloff that feels like a combination of 2013 and 2008.   However, think about how they “looked” technically before major bottoms, like during 2000, 2008, and late 2015. They also looked terrible at other important lows … Continue reading

One reason the history of markets is fascinating is that we can glean clues about the future. History does not always repeat itself, but it often rhymes.   For precious metals, the last six years lack a strong comparison.   There has not been a similar period in which the Gold price rallied back … Continue reading

Regular readers by now are familiar with Gold’s fundamental drivers and the influence of the stock market.    Falling and or negative real interest rates are the fundamental driver for Gold and are usually a byproduct of a weak stock market and economic recession.    However, today I want to focus on the larger … Continue reading

Two weeks ago, I wrote about the potential for a rally in gold stocks. They were extremely oversold, trading at support, and the selling was abating.    Precious Metals bottomed before the Fed decision last week and jumped higher following the decision. This week they have retreated a bit thanks to Fed jawboning.    … Continue reading

I have often written about the importance of the Gold to S&P 500 ratio.   Gold (and gold stocks and Silver) has never been in a real, sustained bull market without outperforming the stock market.   Sure, there have been strong cyclical moves (from 1985 to 1987 and August 2018 to August 2020), but … Continue reading

The gold stocks are extremely oversold. That’s obvious.   However, selling pressure has waned since the end of June. The daily candles have been mild, suggesting less and less distribution.   The last three days mark three consecutive days of accumulation candles for the first time in months.   These candles come amidst an … Continue reading

Gold and Gold stocks have fallen to levels from which we should see excellent returns over the next 12 months and potentially spectacular over the long term. However, that does not mean a bottom and reversal are imminent.    Concerning the gold stocks, the indicators are extremely oversold and have reached levels similar to … Continue reading

Gold stocks have broken down technically, but they are extremely oversold.   Let’s start with GDXJ, which is rebounding today after testing support at $32.   The chart below plots GDXJ along with four breadth indicators, including new 52-week lows and a 50-day rate of change. The blue lines mark where the percentage of … Continue reading